[给你小心心] 2021非人团战翻牌作品合集 [给你小心心]
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【非人哉】
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大士丨https://www.bilibili.com/video/BV1Dy4y1Y7Lf https://weibo.com/7241359642/K16RS4aJP? https://weibo.com/6543077597/K1LkznZRQ? https://weibo.com/5072138585/K2ewQqqLm? https://weibo.com/6543077597/K1ASedUhu? https://weibo.com/7241359642/K1oBbs66l? https://weibo.com/7516850591/K39LLk053?
哮天丨https://weibo.com/7364645467/K2jSo7xZp? https://weibo.com/7525264432/K1unWeMVw?
豆豆丨https://www.bilibili.com/video/BV1V5411N7HP https://www.bilibili.com/video/BV1e5411N7uf https://www.bilibili.com/video/BV1Ap4y1H7wN
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【万圣街】
尼尔丨https://weibo.com/7512417123/K1uzLEoMB? https://weibo.com/7525264432/K1qEHjm1e https://weibo.com/7525264432/K3a53pJXa? https://weibo.com/7364645467/K3eEP1KuQ? https://weibo.com/7525264432/K3jUBEK8f?
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林恩丨https://weibo.com/7364645467/K19t5EtaO? https://weibo.com/7489661797/K1N7LzP0J? https://weibo.com/7350223132/K2g3YtU6x? https://weibo.com/7539912171/K2pYCntxP? https://weibo.com/7516891429/K1spkrczt? https://weibo.com/7364645467/K37jbauQv? https://weibo.com/7539912171/K2SJ879xY? https://weibo.com/7516850591/K3fKMvd2Z? https://weibo.com/7516891429/K3a4Ne3ip? https://weibo.com/7539912171/K3bIaBqGb? https://weibo.com/7528231163/K3jow85D8?
威尔丨https://weibo.com/7516850591/K1UDKqONF?
桃子丨https://weibo.com/7489661797/K2T9RdafQ? https://weibo.com/7539912171/K3Klxuhmu?
艾勒丨https://weibo.com/7531509397/K1BmdpMXU? https://weibo.com/7531509397/K36E5FQci?
【有兽焉】
辟邪丨https://weibo.com/7488438241/K19iozqPb?
天禄丨https://weibo.com/7488438241/K17HufV71?
谛听丨https://weibo.com/7488438241/K2lai48Et?
四不像丨https://weibo.com/7488438241/K1brA7dP5?
福仔丨https://weibo.com/6402622532/K17he6lsM? https://weibo.com/3565294691/K1dKl2VjJ? https://weibo.com/6402622532/K2eyZarsR? https://weibo.com/6402622532/K3IFDxmm7? https://weibo.com/3565294691/K3E1MpG9p? https://weibo.com/7488438241/K3km5bCEH? https://weibo.com/3565294691/K2UfTof02? https://weibo.com/3565294691/K1btP5Cf9?
#文章推荐# 李锐超, 谢瑾博, 谢正辉. 2021. 不同大气强迫作用下陆面模式CAS-LSM多年冻土活动层厚度模拟与不确定性研究[J]. 气候与环境研究, 26(1): 31−44 doi: 10.3878/j.issn.1006-9585.2020.19144
摘要: 冻土在气候系统中起重要作用，研究并揭示冻土时空变化对于增加陆气相互作用的理解具有重要意义。本研究利用包含土壤冻结融化界面动态变化的陆面过程模式CAS-LSM（Chinese Academy of Sciences Land Surface Model），采用0.9°（纬度）×1.25°（经度）分辨率，结合4种大气强迫数据（全球土壤湿度项目强迫数据集GSWP3、美国国家大气研究中心/美国国家环境预报中心强迫数据集CRU-NCEP、普林斯顿全球强迫数据集Princeton、全球变化以及水文观测项目强迫数据集WFDEI）针对1960～2009年进行全球模拟，研究不同大气强迫作用下多年冻土活动层厚度变化趋势及其不确定性。通过与活动层厚度观测数据比较，陆面过程模式CAS-LSM模拟的活动层厚度与观测值比较接近。结果表明：在1960～2009年期间，不同大气强迫作用下多年冻土活动层厚度基本呈现增加的趋势，基于强迫数据WFDEI模拟的活动层厚度增加趋势最大。不同大气强迫数据模拟的活动层厚度区域平均和变化趋势范围为1.1～1.25 m和0.27～0.51 cm/a，相对变化的不确定性范围为11.2%～23.5%。其中青藏高原地区、北美地区、欧亚大陆北部地区的活动层厚度区域平均和变化趋势范围分别为2.26～2.81 m、1.07～1.31 m、1.32～1.48 m和0.47～1.0 4 cm/a、0.29～0.48 cm/a、0.25～0.55 cm/a。通过对地表温度以及气温的变化趋势分析表明：大气强迫数据中气温的差异是造成这些差异的主要原因。
摘要: 冻土在气候系统中起重要作用，研究并揭示冻土时空变化对于增加陆气相互作用的理解具有重要意义。本研究利用包含土壤冻结融化界面动态变化的陆面过程模式CAS-LSM（Chinese Academy of Sciences Land Surface Model），采用0.9°（纬度）×1.25°（经度）分辨率，结合4种大气强迫数据（全球土壤湿度项目强迫数据集GSWP3、美国国家大气研究中心/美国国家环境预报中心强迫数据集CRU-NCEP、普林斯顿全球强迫数据集Princeton、全球变化以及水文观测项目强迫数据集WFDEI）针对1960～2009年进行全球模拟，研究不同大气强迫作用下多年冻土活动层厚度变化趋势及其不确定性。通过与活动层厚度观测数据比较，陆面过程模式CAS-LSM模拟的活动层厚度与观测值比较接近。结果表明：在1960～2009年期间，不同大气强迫作用下多年冻土活动层厚度基本呈现增加的趋势，基于强迫数据WFDEI模拟的活动层厚度增加趋势最大。不同大气强迫数据模拟的活动层厚度区域平均和变化趋势范围为1.1～1.25 m和0.27～0.51 cm/a，相对变化的不确定性范围为11.2%～23.5%。其中青藏高原地区、北美地区、欧亚大陆北部地区的活动层厚度区域平均和变化趋势范围分别为2.26～2.81 m、1.07～1.31 m、1.32～1.48 m和0.47～1.0 4 cm/a、0.29～0.48 cm/a、0.25～0.55 cm/a。通过对地表温度以及气温的变化趋势分析表明：大气强迫数据中气温的差异是造成这些差异的主要原因。
#LatestArticles#【CMIP6虚拟专刊】 在气候变化背景下，活动层厚度的变化会对多年冻土区水文、生态、寒区工程等产生较大的影响。本研究利用中科院气候系统模式CAS-FGOALS-g3和陆面过程模式CAS-LSM 模拟分析了活动层厚度的变化趋势和相对变化。结果表明：活动层厚度整体上呈现出增加的趋势。1979 - 2014年，多年冻土区活动层厚度的区域平均为1.08 m，变化趋势为0.33 cm yr−1，其变化趋势与2 m气温变化趋势基本一致，相对变化范围为1%-58%，平均为10.9%。在未来四种不同的气候情景(SSP-2.6、SSP2-4.5、SSP3-7.0和SSP5-8.5)下，到2100年预计活动层厚度的相对变化分别为10.3%、14.6%、30.1%和51%。 https://t.cn/A6qC7Egu
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